Epidemic to ‘die out on its own’ in Denmark, for now
The COVID-19 epidemic is expected to disappear in the short term in Denmark, according to a report by researchers who warned however of a “considerable risk” of a second wave.
The report was released by the Danish health agency SSI, which operates under the health ministry and is responsible for the surveillance of infectious diseases.
“It is highly likely that the epidemic dies out on its own if the current level of closures continues,” it said.
The researchers added that the epidemic was expected to die out even with a reopening of businesses, if social distancing was maintained, but stressed that “this is in the short term”.
Noting the level of immunity in the Danish population was currently low, the report, drawn up for politicians mulling a second phase of easing, warned of “a considerable risk that a second wave of the epidemic will come later”.
On April 15, the country started reopening pre-schools and resuming classes for the youngest primary school children—under strict social distancing and hygiene guidelines.
Since then the reproduction rate, or infection rate, of the disease has risen from 0.6 to 0.9, according to SSI, but a rate lower than one still means the number of new cases is going down.
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